Tuesday, February 3, 2026

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    GAMBIA: Poll Reveals 69% Favour A United Coalition to Challenge Barrow – Only 25% Disagree

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    According to the latest opinion poll survey released by CepRass, 34% of respondents indicated that President Adama Barrow is likely to win the December Presidential Election, while 49% expressed support for other candidates.

    A limited percentage of 4% indicate they would not participate in voting, 9% express uncertainty, while 3% declined to respond. The current perception regarding the likely winning party indicates that the NPP Alliance leads with 46%, followed by the UDP at 20%. The APC stands at 0%, while Talib Bensouda’s UMC has 2%. The APRC, APP/Sobeya, and PPP each hold 0%, with the NRP also at 0%. The GDC and PDOIS each account for 1%, and the APRC No-To-Alliance is at 1% as well.

    A significant number of individuals either declined to respond, indicated uncertainty, or chose to remain silent. The intention to vote for the opposition reveals that UDP is in the lead with 35% of respondents. This is followed by APRC No-To-Alliance at 11%, PDOIS at 8%, and UMC at 7%. Additionally, one-fourth of respondents have not expressed a preference among the candidates listed.

    At present, 69% of the respondents believe that a united coalition represents the credible approach to overcoming the incumbent, whereas only 25% hold a differing opinion.

    The report indicates that 16% of respondents express trust in the President to act in the nation’s best interest, while 19% have a somewhat positive view. Additionally, 26% trust him a little, 37% do not trust him at all, and 2% are uncertain.

    The report indicated that merely 12% of Gambians strongly approve of the President’s performance in his role as Head of State, while 20% express some approval. Additionally, 9% remain neutral, 21% somewhat disapprove, 35% strongly disapprove, and 2% are undecided.

    The findings indicate that merely 4% of respondents believe the President and his administration are managing critical areas of the economy effectively, while 21% feel they are doing so fairly well. Additionally, 7% perceive the performance as neither good nor bad, 21% consider it fairly poor, 39% rate it very poorly, and 8% remain undecided.

    A survey regarding the President and his administration’s performance on job-related issues reveals that 4% of respondents feel the government is performing well, 18% believe it is doing fairly, 7% are neutral, 23% rate it as fairly poor, 43% consider it poor, and 5% remain undecided.

    The report indicated that merely 4% approve of the government’s management of corruption, while 47% perceive it as being managed very poorly.

    According to the survey, 44% of respondents believe that the government is managing institutional reform very poorly, whereas only 4% feel it is being handled very well.

    The report indicates that over 50% of respondents strongly agree that the Meet the People Tour has evolved into a political event rather than a national outreach initiative, with only 7% expressing strong disagreement.

    The findings suggest that constitutional term limits and diaspora enfranchisement are viewed as the most critical reforms by the public, significantly surpassing procedural changes like ballot format or registration rules.

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